Written by Dale Lamontagne, can be found on twitter @Dale_Lamontagne.
With the NHL offseason just beginning, I have put together a list of RFAs that could receive an offer sheet this summer. Starting on June 25th, Restricted Free Agents (RFAs) can start contract talks with other teams during the NHL’s interview process. (free agent interview period rule revision)
If you are not sure how this works, let me tell you by using an unrealistic example:
An offer sheet is a contract offered to an RFA (P.K. Subban) by a team other than the one he played for (Montreal Canadiens) during the prior season (Toronto Maple Leafs). Basically, if the player (Subban) signs the offer sheet, his current NHL team (Canadiens) will have seven days to match the contract offer (7 years, $70 million total), and keep the player, or if the team (Canadiens) don’t match the offer, the player (Subban) will go to the team that offered him the contract (Maple Leafs), along with draft pick compensation going to his first team (Canadiens).
Below is the draft pick compensation chart:
|Cap Hit of offer sheet||Draft Pick Compensation|
|$1,110,249 or below||None|
|Over $1,110,249 to $1,682,194||Third-round pick|
|Over $1,682,194 to $3,364,391||Second-round pick|
|Over $3,364,391 to $5,046,585||First-round and third-round pick|
|Over $5,046,585 to $6,728,781||First-round, second-round and third-round pick|
|Over $6,728,781 to $8,410,976||Two first-round picks, second-round pick, third-round pick|
|Over $8,410,976||Four first-round picks|
Anyways, without further ado, here are 5 players that I think could receive an offer sheet this offseason.
5. Justin Schultz
Team: Edmonton Oilers
Prior Contract: 2-years, $925,000 per year
2013-14 Stats: 74 GP, 11 G, 22 A, 33 P
Justin Schultz is a pretty interesting RFA this summer. He’s a pretty solid puck moving defenceman, who could be seeking a yearly salary of $4+ million this offseason.
During the 2013-14 campaign with the Edmonton Oilers, Schultz recorded 33 points, making him the sixth top scorer on the Oilers team that finished 28th in the league.
Although his defensive side could use a little bit of work, he does indeed have some solid upside and would be a great fit on a team that are in need of a mobile defenceman.
Potential Destinations? Flyers, Leafs, Flames, Panthers
4. Ryan Johansen
Team: Columbus Blue Jackets
Prior Contract: Three-year ELC, $870,000 per year.
2013-14 Stats: 82 GP, 33 G, 33 A, 63 P
For a center Johansen is a pretty big guy, at 6’3’’ and 223 pounds. He’s coming off an entry level deal and has been improving offensively each year. This past season he scored 63 points, making him the Blue Jackets leading scorer in the regular season.
Johansen still has to prove that he is worth more than $5 million a year and should agree to a two or three year bridge contract that would pay him $3 million a year. Now, if a team were to offer sheet him it would have to be over $5 million a season on a long term deal.
Potential Destinations? Leafs, Sabres, Oilers, Canucks
3. Erik Gudbranson
Team: Florida Panthers
Prior Contract: Three-year ELC, $900,000 per year
2013-14 Stats: 65 GP, 3 G, 6 A, 9 P
Gudbranson, 22, is a big guy for his age. At 6’5’’ and 210 pounds, he is a solid physical defenceman who’s known for playing a shutdown role. His leadership qualities are impressive, hence why many believe he will be the next captain of the Panthers.
It wouldn’t cost much for a team to offer sheet the 22-year-old, as he’s coming off an entry-level deal that paid him $900,000 per season. If a team were to send him an offer sheet, it would likely be a long term deal, that could pay anything over $4 million per year.
Potential destinations? Flyers, Islanders, Oilers, Flames, Hurricanes
2. Ryan O’Reilly
Team: Colorado Avalanche
Prior Contract: Two-years, $5,000,000 per year
2013-14 Stats: 80 GP, 28 G, 36 A, 64 P
Ryan O’Reilly is only 23-year-old. Can you believe that? He is one of the best two-way players in the NHL and he just won the Lady Byng Trophy. The great thing about O’Reilly is, he can play both the wing and center positions, which is an added bonus for any team.
It would cost a lot more than $6 million per season to get him out of Colorado. O’Reilly is coming off a two-year bridge contract that paid him $5 million per year, so expect him to sign a long-term deal that pays more than $6 million a season if he tests UFA.
Potential Destinations? Leafs, Blackhawks, Ducks, Jets, Flames
1. P.K. Subban
Team: Montreal Canadiens
Prior Contract: Two-years, $2,875,000 per year
2013-14 Stats: 82 GP, 10 G, 43 A, 53 P
The former Norris Trophy winner, P.K. Subban, is coming off a two-year deal, worth $5.75 million. TSN, along with several other media outlets, say Subban could seek between $8 million to $9 million per season on max term deal this summer. Subban is in line for a hefty raise, and rightfully so, after a strong season with the Habs, and a very impressive playoff run.
I fully believe Subban is worth the money he is asking for, but he may not receive all of it due to the fact Montreal has other key pieces to re-sign this offseason too.
If a team sends an offer sheet to Subban’s way, it could cost upwards of $10 million to get him out of Montreal, but it’s very unlikely that happens.
Potential Destinations? Oilers, Flyers and Islanders