Consensus NHL Power Rankings – Week Four

Our consensus NHL power rankings for week four of the NHL season.

To get our consensus point total, we awarded the top team 30 points, the second team 29 points, third team 28 points, etc. Added each teams total points and divided by the number of outlets used.

* See below chart for Greenberg’s analytics explanation

RK
Consensus
PTS
Last
WK
TSN
Nov. 3
The
Score
Nov 3
ESPN
Nov. 3
USA
Today
Nov. 3
THN
Nov. 3
WSH
Post
Nov. 3
CBC
Sports
Nov. 4
SI
Nov. 4
1
229
4
2
226
2
3
213
9
4
212
8
5
199
14
6
198
8
7
174
3
8
172
2
9
166
12
10
166
5
11
166
16
12
161
11
13
138
18
14
137
17
15
134
15
16
122
13
17
107
25
18
106
7
19
95
10
20
92
19
21
86
21
22
85
27
23
85
28
24
58
20
25
49
26
26
43
24
27
40
22
28
33
23
29
19
30
30
9
29

* Washington Post:

These NHL power rankings are based on two factors that are estimates of a team’s true talent level, both adjusted for strength of schedule: Pythagenpat win percentage and percentage of even-strength shots in their favor when the game is within one goal (“Fenwick Close“).

Pythagenpat estimates a team’s true talent level based on goals for and against, while a team’s Fenwick Close gives us a proxy for their ability to drive puck possession. The more shots in their favor after eliminating score effects, the more sustainable winning should be.  You can find a complete explanation of the methodology by clicking here.